ANALYSIS OF TIMBER PRICES USING UNIVARIATE METHODS (TIME LAGS AND BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY)
Abstract
THE TARGET OF THIS THESIS WAS THE ANSWER TO THE QUESTION: CAN THE TWO METHODOGIES (TIME LAGS AND BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY) GIVE A SATISFACTORY APPROACH TO THE PROBLEM OF DEFINING THE STARTING PRICES OF THE TIMBER BEING SOLD IN THE PUBLIC AUCTIONS. IN TOTAL WE HAVE EXAMINED 31 MODELS (11 OF TIME LAGS AND 20 OF THE BOX- JENKINS METHODOLOGY). THE MODELS TESTING HAS BEEN BASED ON THEIR ABILITY TO FORECAST WITH SUFFICIENT ACCURACY. THE CRITERIA EMPLOYED TO TEST THIS ABILITY WERE: THE U-THEIL COEFFICIENT AND THE F-ANAVA TEST. THE RESULTS OF THE ANALYSIS PROVED THAT A NUMBER OF TESTED MODE GIVE FORECASTS OF THE STARTING PRICES IN THE FUTURE WITH SATISFACTORY ACCURACY.
Download full text in PDF format (5.6 MB)
(Available only to registered users)
|
All items in National Archive of Phd theses are protected by copyright.
|
Usage statistics
VIEWS
Concern the unique Ph.D. Thesis' views for the period 07/2018 - 07/2023.
Source: Google Analytics.
Source: Google Analytics.
ONLINE READER
Concern the online reader's opening for the period 07/2018 - 07/2023.
Source: Google Analytics.
Source: Google Analytics.
DOWNLOADS
Concern all downloads of this Ph.D. Thesis' digital file.
Source: National Archive of Ph.D. Theses.
Source: National Archive of Ph.D. Theses.
USERS
Concern all registered users of National Archive of Ph.D. Theses who have interacted with this Ph.D. Thesis. Mostly, it concerns downloads.
Source: National Archive of Ph.D. Theses.
Source: National Archive of Ph.D. Theses.